The MA slope as an histogramm
- Bull
-
Bull
déclinant
- Bear
- Bear déclinant
- Unknown (white)
The MA impulsion
(or acceleration)
as a gray curve.
The indicator
is easy to read : trends are corresponding to green or red blocks
in the histogramm.
During the first
part of the bull trend of the graphic, the impulsion curve and the
slope histogramm are on the same side of the zero line. The impulsion
and the slope have the same sign and the movement is accelerated
(impulsion phase of the trend). In the second part, the impulsion
curve is on the other side of the zero line. The impulsion and he
slope have opposite signs and the movement is decelerated (decline
of the trend).
The same phases appear during the bear trend.
Indicator Meaning
- Positive
slope = green = bull,
- Negative slope = red = bear,
- Insignificant slope = white = no trend.
- Impulsion
and slope of the same sign = accelerated or constant trend,
- Impulsion and slope of different signs = declining trend.
The
two next graphics show the trends indicator applied to Mac Donalds (MA
25)
For the last
day of the graphic, the indicator gives a Bull declining trend
(bull trend since 1 month, declining since 4 days).
On next graphic, the trends indicator is applied at short, medium
and long terms (25, 50 et 125)
For the last
day, the graphic gives
- ST : Bull since 1 month, declining since 4 days,
- MT : Bull (uncertain trend),
- LT : Bear since 2 months.
Next
graphic gives more details with the developed view
The first analysis
on ST and LT trends is confirmed :
- ST : Bull since 1 month, declinins since 4 days,
- LT : Bear since 2 month.
The MT trend
becomes :
- MT : No confirmed trend since 1 month and a half.
Trends
Representation - Trends
Map
The trends map
is the representation
of all trends from
two to N days.
An horizontal
trend bar is displayed
for each trend.
The whole graphic
is the TrendsMap.
Here is an example
of trends map
applied to McDonalds
from january 2003
to october 2004.
Trend
Evolution
Trends evolution during time is given by horizontal lines.
For example,
reading the line 20 (ST), gives the successive trends
on 20 days from beginning of 2003 to october 2004.
(graphic hereunder)
Trends
of the day
For a selected day,
the trends are given
reading vertical lines.
For example,
the last trends
for MCD are displayed in the
last right column.
(left graphic)
Prices
and Map
The TrendsMap
may be displayed
as a backimage
within the
prices graphic.
(vertical
axis
does not fit
for trends).
This "backimage display" shows the relation between the
"red rising flames" in the map and the prices evolution.
For instance,
the small red "islet" burning december 18, 2003 is the
consequence of the prices fall down from $27 to $23. And this islet
climbs until it reaches MA 60.
The same kind of scenario occurs at beginning of august 2004.
MA 60
seems to be meaningful for MCD. MA 60 surely is a better medium
term MA candidat than the previously used MA 50.
How to use
curves and trends map is not the subject of this page.
Read online articles about this subject.