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Trends Representation - Trends Curves and Bars 

 

A trend on N days is characterized by
a N days long
moving average :

>> The trend is bullish
when this MA is
raising up (slope > 0)
and bearish when
the MA is going down
(slope < 0).

>> The trend is declining when the MA is going flat
(slope getting weaker).

Bull and Bear Trends

 

The trends indicator
proposed with TradEdit
is the representation
of the slope and
the impulse of the MA.

The trend is
directly given
by the horizontal
bar's colors.

- Bull
--Declining Bull
- Bear
- Declining Bear
-
Unknown (white)

Trends Bar


The developed view of the indicator shows :

>> The horizontal zero line.

>> The MA slope as an histogramm
- Bull
-
Bull déclinant
- Bear
- Bear déclinant
- Unknown (white)

>> The MA impulsion
(or acceleration)
as a gray curve.

Trends Curve

The indicator is easy to read : trends are corresponding to green or red blocks in the histogramm.

During the first part of the bull trend of the graphic, the impulsion curve and the slope histogramm are on the same side of the zero line. The impulsion and the slope have the same sign and the movement is accelerated (impulsion phase of the trend). In the second part, the impulsion curve is on the other side of the zero line. The impulsion and he slope have opposite signs and the movement is decelerated (decline of the trend).
The same phases appear during the bear trend.


Indicator Meaning

- Positive slope = green = bull,
- Negative slope = red = bear,
- Insignificant slope = white = no trend.

- Impulsion and slope of the same sign = accelerated or constant trend,
- Impulsion and slope of different signs = declining trend.
 

The two next graphics show the trends indicator applied to Mac Donalds (MA 25)

MCD : Trends Bar

MCD : Trends Curve

For the last day of the graphic, the indicator gives a Bull declining trend
(bull trend since 1 month, declining since 4 days).



On next graphic, the trends indicator is applied at short, medium and long terms (25, 50 et 125)

ST, MT and LT Trends

For the last day, the graphic gives
- ST : Bull since 1 month, declining since 4 days,
- MT : Bull (uncertain trend),
- LT : Bear since 2 months.

Next graphic gives more details with the developed view

ST, MT and LT Developed Trends

The first analysis on ST and LT trends is confirmed :
- ST : Bull since 1 month, declinins since 4 days,
- LT : Bear since 2 month.

The MT trend becomes :
- MT : No confirmed trend since 1 month and a half.

 

Trends Representation - Trends Map
 
 

The trends map
is the representation
of all trends from
two to N days.

An horizontal
trend bar is displayed
for each trend.
The whole graphic
is the TrendsMap.

Here is an example
of trends map
applied to McDonalds
from january 2003
to october 2004.

TrendsMap


Trend
Evolution


Trends evolution during time is given by horizontal lines.

For example, reading the line 20 (ST), gives the successive trends
on 20 days from beginning of 2003 to october 2004.
(graphic hereunder)

Trend Evolution


Trends
of the day


Trends of the Day    



For a selected day,
the trends are given
reading vertical lines.

For example, the last trends
for MCD are displayed in the
last right column.
(left graphic)

 

Prices and Map

The TrendsMap
may be displayed
as a backimage
within the
prices graphic.

(
vertical axis
does not fit
for trends).

 

TrendsMap as BackImage


This "backimage display" shows the relation between the "red rising flames" in the map and the prices evolution.

For instance, the small red "islet" burning december 18, 2003 is the consequence of the prices fall down from $27 to $23. And this islet climbs until it reaches MA 60.
The same kind of scenario occurs at beginning of august 2004.
MA 60 seems to be meaningful for MCD. MA 60 surely is a better medium term MA candidat than the previously used MA 50.

 

How to use curves and trends map is not the subject of this page.
Read online articles about this subject.

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